Pair #9412

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-KNAK

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Keita Nakajima finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Keita Nakajima
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2626

YES ask: 0.7900
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keita Nakajima finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-KNAK

Will Keita Nakajima win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Keita Nakajima
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 428798

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keita Nakajima wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 625.42% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9430 + ~$0.0042 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: +621.19% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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