Pair #9407

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-TMCK

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Tom McKibbin finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tom McKibbin
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3537

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.2000

Rules

If Tom McKibbin finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-TMCK

Will Tom McKibbin win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom McKibbin
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 248999

YES ask: 0.0040
NO ask: 0.9970
Last: 0.0040

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom McKibbin wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.8240 + ~$0.0106 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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