Pair #9403

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-ISC26-JKOI

ISCO Championship: Will Jackson Koivun finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jackson Koivun
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1423

YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Koivun finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-ISC26-JKOI

ISCO Championship: Will Jackson Koivun finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jackson Koivun
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7565

YES ask: 0.6500
NO ask: 0.3900
Last: 0.6100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Koivun finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 ISCO Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3300 + ~$0.0312 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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