Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNBANORTHWEST-25-DEN
Will Denver win the Pro Basketball Northwest Division Winner?
Series: KXNBANORTHWEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 16526
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Denver is the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Northwest Division Winner, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNBAWEST1SEED-25-DEN
Will Denver be the Pro Basketball Western Conference #1 Seed in the playoffs?
Series: KXNBAWEST1SEED
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 8387
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Denver is the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Western Conference #1 Seed in the playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:01:10Z
Reasoning: Winning the Northwest Division does not guarantee the #1 seed in the Western Conference — another division winner could have a better record. And the #1 seed does not necessarily require winning the Northwest Division, as the best record in the West could come from any division. No necessary implication in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A