Pair #9391

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-CJAR

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Casey Jarvis finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Casey Jarvis
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1338

YES ask: 0.3300
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.3300

Rules

If Casey Jarvis finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-CJAR

Will Casey Jarvis win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Casey Jarvis
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 657131

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Casey Jarvis wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.7330 + ~$0.0140 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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