Pair #9390

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-CJAR

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Casey Jarvis finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Casey Jarvis
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1596

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.1200

Rules

If Casey Jarvis finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-CJAR

Will Casey Jarvis win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Casey Jarvis
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 657131

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Casey Jarvis wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 254.83% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9630 + ~$0.0029 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: +250.60% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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