Pair #9388

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-NHOJ

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7063

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-NHOJ

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18698

YES ask: 0.8300
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP5 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.8300 + ~$0.0099 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue