Pair #9372

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-LCAN

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Laurie Canter finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Laurie Canter
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1524

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Laurie Canter finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-LCAN

Will Laurie Canter win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Laurie Canter
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 589388

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules If Laurie Canter wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -11.04% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0030 + ~$0.0002 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -15.27% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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