Pair #9370

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-NTAY

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Nick Taylor finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4819

YES ask: 0.4200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Taylor finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-NTAY

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Nick Taylor finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4061

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nick Taylor finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.4800 + ~$0.0175 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue