Pair #9367

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-NTAY

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Nick Taylor finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4061

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

Rules

If Nick Taylor finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-NTAY

Will Nick Taylor win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 247985

YES ask: 0.0040
NO ask: 0.9970
Last: 0.0040

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Taylor wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -14.43% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0040 + ~$0.0003 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -18.66% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue