Pair #9352

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-JSVE

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Jesper Svensson finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jesper Svensson
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6823

YES ask: 0.4400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jesper Svensson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JSVE

Will Jesper Svensson win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jesper Svensson
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 108368

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jesper Svensson wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -7.51% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0020 + ~$0.0001 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -11.74% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue