Pair #934

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-RHOE

Will Rico Hoey win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rico Hoey
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 135380

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rico Hoey wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-RHOE

Valspar Championship: Will Rico Hoey finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rico Hoey
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15699

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7600
Last: 0.4000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rico Hoey finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:13:03Z

Reasoning: If Rico Hoey wins the Valspar Championship, he necessarily finishes top 10 (1st place is within top 10). The reverse is not true — top 10 does not guarantee a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue