Pair #9337

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-ANOV

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Andrew Novak finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Andrew Novak
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5110

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

Rules

If Andrew Novak finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-ANOV

Will Andrew Novak win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Andrew Novak
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 321446

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andrew Novak wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -11.04% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0030 + ~$0.0002 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -15.27% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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