Pair #9322

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-KKIT

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Kurt Kitayama finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3691

YES ask: 0.3900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kurt Kitayama finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-KKIT

Will Kurt Kitayama win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 430543

YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9930
Last: 0.0080

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kurt Kitayama wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -26.72% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0080 + ~$0.0006 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -30.95% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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