Pair #9307

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-RGER

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Ryan Gerard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryan Gerard
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11732

YES ask: 0.8600
NO ask: 0.6000
Last: 0.5300

Rules

If Ryan Gerard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-RGER

Will Ryan Gerard win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ryan Gerard
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1309613

YES ask: 0.0070
NO ask: 0.9940
Last: 0.0070

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Gerard wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.6070 + ~$0.0173 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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