Pair #9305

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-RGER

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Ryan Gerard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ryan Gerard
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2103

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Gerard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-RGER

Will Ryan Gerard win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ryan Gerard
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1309613

YES ask: 0.0070
NO ask: 0.9940
Last: 0.0070

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Gerard wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 50.52% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9870 + ~$0.0019 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: +46.29% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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