Pair #9294

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-WCLA

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 26388

YES ask: 0.9200
NO ask: 0.2600
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-WCLA

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 58963

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.90% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1900 + ~$0.0180 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.13% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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