Pair #9293

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-WCLA

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 30615

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.5000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-WCLA

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 26388

YES ask: 0.9200
NO ask: 0.2600
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP5 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP10 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.5700 + ~$0.0211 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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