Pair #9266

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-THOC26-WCLA

The Open Championship: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 9257

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-WCLA

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 30615

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.5000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.73% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.2900 + ~$0.0282 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -103.96% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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