Pair #925

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-TPEN

Valspar Championship: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 225

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-TPEN

Valspar Championship: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5489

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:13:03Z

Reasoning: If Pendrith finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse is not true — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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