Pair #9249

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-RMCI

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Rory McIlroy finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rory McIlroy
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 72018

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.5500

Rules

If Rory McIlroy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-RMCI

Will Rory McIlroy win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rory McIlroy
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1744685

YES ask: 0.0790
NO ask: 0.9220
Last: 0.0790

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rory McIlroy wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.5290 + ~$0.0224 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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