Pair #9230

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-THOC26-RMCI

The Open Championship: Will Rory McIlroy finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rory McIlroy
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 58125

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rory McIlroy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-RMCI

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Rory McIlroy finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Rory McIlroy
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32359

YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rory McIlroy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 72.91% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9400 + ~$0.0348 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: +68.68% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue