Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-GESO26-PREE
Genesis Scottish Open: Will Patrick Reed finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 26395
YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.2000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Patrick Reed finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-THOC26-PREE
Will Patrick Reed win the The Open Championship?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 955753
YES ask: 0.0120
NO ask: 0.9890
Last: 0.0120
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Patrick Reed wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A
Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
23.65%
PROFITABLE
Cost:
$0.9920
+ ~$0.0022 est. fees
Days to maturity:
10
Hurdle yield:
4.23%
Excess yield:
+19.42%
PROFITABLE