Pair #9196

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-RHOJ

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1771

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-RHOJ

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8738

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -96.50% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1000 + ~$0.0063 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -100.73% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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