Pair #9191

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-RHOJ

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8738

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-RHOJ

Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 309802

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -11.04% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0030 + ~$0.0002 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -15.27% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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