Pair #9187

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-RMAC

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13609

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.5100
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-RMAC

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32655

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.3600
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP5 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.4600 + ~$0.0208 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue