Pair #9180

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-RMAC

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13609

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.5100
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-RMAC

Will Robert MacIntyre win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1011366

YES ask: 0.0280
NO ask: 0.9740
Last: 0.0280

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.5380 + ~$0.0194 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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