Pair #9179

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-RMAC

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 21657

YES ask: 0.8500
NO ask: 0.3500
Last: 0.6700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-RMAC

Will Robert MacIntyre win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1011366

YES ask: 0.0280
NO ask: 0.9740
Last: 0.0280

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3780 + ~$0.0178 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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