Pair #9177

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-RMAC

Will Robert MacIntyre lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 60277

YES ask: 0.0240
NO ask: 0.9790
Last: 0.0250

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-RMAC

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32655

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.3600
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.9290 + ~$0.0048 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue