Pair #9171

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-THOC26-RMAC

The Open Championship: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 8622

YES ask: 0.4000
NO ask: 0.6100
Last: 0.4000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-RMAC

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13609

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.5100
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.34% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.2300 + ~$0.0331 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -103.57% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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