Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-GESO26-RMAC
Genesis Scottish Open: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 21657
YES ask: 0.8500
NO ask: 0.3500
Last: 0.6700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-THOC26-RMAC
The Open Championship: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 6129
YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 0.7700
Last: 0.2300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A
Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
>999%
PROFITABLE
Cost:
$0.5900
+ ~$0.0287 est. fees
Days to maturity:
10
Hurdle yield:
4.23%
Excess yield:
>999%
PROFITABLE