Pair #9143

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-CCON

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Corey Conners finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 931

YES ask: 0.4100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-CCON

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Corey Conners finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5410

YES ask: 0.3600
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3600 + ~$0.0161 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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