Pair #9136

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-CCON

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Corey Conners finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 931

YES ask: 0.4100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-CCON

Will Corey Conners win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 963141

YES ask: 0.0060
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0060

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -20.82% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0060 + ~$0.0004 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -25.05% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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