Pair #9130

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-RFOX

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Ryan Fox finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4321

YES ask: 0.2700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2400

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Rules

If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-RFOX

Will Ryan Fox win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 350310

YES ask: 0.0050
NO ask: 0.9960
Last: 0.0040

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Fox wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -17.69% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0050 + ~$0.0003 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -21.92% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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