Pair #912

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-ZBLA

Valspar Championship: Will Zac Blair finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Zac Blair
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6354

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Zac Blair finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-ZBLA

Valspar Championship: Will Zac Blair finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Zac Blair
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22486

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Zac Blair finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:12:26Z

Reasoning: Top 10 is a subset of top 20, so finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. Finishing top 20 does not require finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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