Pair #9115

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-THAT

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Tyrrell Hatton finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 37528

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.4000
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyrrell Hatton finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-THAT

Will Tyrrell Hatton win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 827953

YES ask: 0.0220
NO ask: 0.9790
Last: 0.0220

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyrrell Hatton wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4220 + ~$0.0183 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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