Pair #911

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-ZBLA

Valspar Championship: Will Zac Blair finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Zac Blair
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22486

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Zac Blair finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-ZBLA

Valspar Championship: Will Zac Blair make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Zac Blair
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 689

YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.5500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Zac Blair makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:12:26Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires completing the tournament, which means the cut was made. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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