Pair #9109

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-THAT

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Tyrrell Hatton finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12992

YES ask: 0.2700
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyrrell Hatton finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-THOC26-THAT

The Open Championship: Will Tyrrell Hatton finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 8980

YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.6600
Last: 0.3500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyrrell Hatton finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.74% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1500 + ~$0.0271 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -103.97% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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