Pair #9100

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-LABE

Will Ludvig Aberg lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 62213

YES ask: 0.0210
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0210

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-LABE

Will Ludvig Aberg win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 816121

YES ask: 0.0250
NO ask: 0.9760
Last: 0.0250

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -30.95% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0150 + ~$0.0024 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -35.18% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue