Pair #9099

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-LABE

The Open Championship: Will Ludvig Aberg make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 3544

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-LABE

Will Ludvig Aberg lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 62213

YES ask: 0.0210
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0210

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3010 + ~$0.0156 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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