Pair #9075

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-MFIT

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19794

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.2000
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-THOC26-MFIT

The Open Championship: Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 18494

YES ask: 0.2300
NO ask: 0.7800
Last: 0.2300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4300 + ~$0.0236 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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