Pair #9073

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-MFIT

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 47680

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.9400

Rules

If Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-MFIT

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2049004

YES ask: 0.0530
NO ask: 0.9480
Last: 0.0530

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matt Fitzpatrick wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.1530 + ~$0.0098 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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