Pair #907

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BBRO

Valspar Championship: Will Blades Brown make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3958

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Blades Brown makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-BBRO

Valspar Championship: Will Blades Brown finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18073

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Blades Brown finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:12:26Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 implies making the cut but the reverse is not the question here — top 10 does imply making the cut, but that direction means top 10 is the antecedent. Finishing top 10 necessitates making the cut, so KXPGATOP10-VAC26-BBRO implies KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BBRO.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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