Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-GESO26-MFIT
Genesis Scottish Open: Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19794
YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.2000
Last: 0.8700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-THOC26-MFIT
The Open Championship: Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 20136
YES ask: 0.3700
NO ask: 0.6400
Last: 0.3700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A
Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
>999%
PROFITABLE
Cost:
$0.5700
+ ~$0.0275 est. fees
Days to maturity:
10
Hurdle yield:
4.23%
Excess yield:
>999%
PROFITABLE