Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-VAC26-BBRO
Will Blades Brown win the Valspar Championship?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 500375
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Blades Brown wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BBRO
Valspar Championship: Will Blades Brown make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3958
YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.5700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Blades Brown makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:12:26Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires completing all rounds, which necessitates making the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a win.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.8700
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A