Pair #9045

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2453329

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-SSCH

The Open Championship: Will Scottie Scheffler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 9278

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1300
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGAMAKECUT for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.7700 + ~$0.0142 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T13:09:38Z

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