Pair #9030

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-JSPA

Genesis Scottish Open: Will J.J. Spaun finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8383

YES ask: 0.4100
NO ask: 0.7900
Last: 0.3000

Rules

If J.J. Spaun finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JSPA

Will J.J. Spaun win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 532196

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9910
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.J. Spaun wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.8000 + ~$0.0123 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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