Pair #9029

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-JSPA

Genesis Scottish Open: Will J.J. Spaun finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5276

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1900

Rules

If J.J. Spaun finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JSPA

Will J.J. Spaun win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 532196

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9910
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.J. Spaun wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -32.17% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0100 + ~$0.0007 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -36.40% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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