Pair #9028

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-GESO26-JSPA

Genesis Scottish Open: Will J.J. Spaun finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 828

YES ask: 0.4600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

Rules

If J.J. Spaun finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JSPA

Will J.J. Spaun win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: J.J. Spaun
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 532196

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9910
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.J. Spaun wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -32.17% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0100 + ~$0.0007 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -36.40% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue