Pair #9016

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-GESO26-VHOV

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Viktor Hovland finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17895

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 0.8600
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Viktor Hovland finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-VHOV

Will Viktor Hovland win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1476528

YES ask: 0.0280
NO ask: 0.9740
Last: 0.0280

View on Kalshi

Rules If Viktor Hovland wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-11T07:45:44Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: rule: finish-position markets in different tournaments

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.8880 + ~$0.0103 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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